Análisis Cagliari vs Siena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 2011 |
INT
2 - 1
CAG
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAG
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 3
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2011 |
CES
1 - 1
CAG
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 0
NAP
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 nov. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 2
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2011 |
UDI
2 - 1
SIE
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 2011 |
SIE
4 - 1
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 oct. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
SIE
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 0
CES
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |