Análisis CAI vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
22.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2004 |
FER
1 - 0
CAI
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2004 |
CAI
5 - 0
JAN
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 feb. 2004 |
CAU
1 - 0
CAI
64%
20%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
CAI
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2004 |
DEF
0 - 1
POR
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
DEF
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 2004 |
DEF
2 - 0
GOD
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
SMA
1 - 1
DEF
13%
22%
65%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 jun. 2001 |
DEF
2 - 0
TEM
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |