Análisis Calavera vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.09
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
28.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 dic. 1946 |
REC
5 - 1
CAL
88%
8%
4%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 1946 |
CAL
1 - 1
RJA
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | +2 |
| 15 dic. 1946 |
EME
1 - 0
CAL
69%
16%
15%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1946 |
CAL
4 - 2
EGA
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +4 |
| 01 dic. 1946 |
COR
4 - 0
CAL
86%
9%
5%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | -1 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 1946 |
CDB
2 - 1
LUC
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1946 |
MER
3 - 0
LUC
70%
16%
15%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 1946 |
LUC
0 - 3
REC
29%
22%
50%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -2 |
| 01 dic. 1946 |
RJA
5 - 0
LUC
86%
9%
5%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1946 |
LUC
2 - 2
EME
71%
16%
14%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |