Análisis Lecco vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 1968 |
PIS
2 - 0
LEC
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 1968 |
LEC
2 - 1
GEN
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 feb. 1968 |
NOV
1 - 1
LEC
52%
28%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1968 |
LEC
2 - 3
ASS
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 1
LEC
51%
28%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 1968 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 1968 |
MES
0 - 0
PIS
38%
32%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
VNZ
42%
30%
27%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 ene. 1968 |
MES
1 - 1
GEN
35%
31%
35%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 1968 |
PRG
2 - 1
MES
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |