Análisis Lecco vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.37
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.7%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 1962 |
INT
3 - 0
LEC
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1962 |
LEC
3 - 2
FIO
19%
23%
58%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 1962 |
SAM
2 - 1
LEC
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 1962 |
LEC
3 - 1
CAT
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 1962 |
LEC
2 - 1
PAL
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 abr. 1962 |
MOD
0 - 0
PAR
56%
26%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1962 |
BRE
0 - 1
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 1962 |
MOD
0 - 0
SSS
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1962 |
MOD
1 - 2
PRO
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 1962 |
GEN
5 - 1
MOD
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |