Serie A Jor. 24

Análisis Padova vs Modena

Padova Modena
75 ELO 79
-12.3% Tilt -10.7%
706º Ranking ELO general 441º
41º Ranking ELO país 34º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
53.5%
Padova
23.2%
Empate
23.3%
Modena

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Padova
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Modena
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Padova
Modena
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Padova
Padova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 ene. 1949
PAD
Padova
3 - 2
Novara
NOV
59%
21%
20%
74 70 4 0
23 ene. 1949
BOL
Bologna
0 - 0
Padova
PAD
62%
20%
18%
74 80 6 0
16 ene. 1949
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 1
Padova
PAD
63%
19%
18%
74 76 2 0
09 ene. 1949
PAD
Padova
0 - 0
Genoa
GEN
41%
25%
34%
74 81 7 0
05 ene. 1949
JUV
Juventus
6 - 1
Padova
PAD
74%
15%
11%
74 85 11 0

Partidos

Modena
Modena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 ene. 1949
MOD
Modena
2 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
56%
24%
20%
79 76 3 0
23 ene. 1949
NOV
Novara
2 - 1
Modena
MOD
41%
27%
33%
79 70 9 0
16 ene. 1949
MOD
Modena
4 - 0
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
47%
24%
29%
79 76 3 0
09 ene. 1949
LIV
Livorno
1 - 0
Modena
MOD
47%
25%
28%
79 73 6 0
05 ene. 1949
MOD
Modena
0 - 2
Triestina
TRI
48%
26%
27%
79 78 1 0