Análisis Padova vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 1955 |
USA
2 - 2
PAD
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 1955 |
PAD
1 - 0
TAR
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 1955 |
PAD
0 - 0
SAL
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 1955 |
PAV
1 - 1
PAD
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 1955 |
PAD
2 - 0
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
71%
18%
12%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 1955 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 feb. 1955 |
MOD
3 - 2
USA
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 feb. 1955 |
TAR
2 - 2
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 feb. 1955 |
PAL
1 - 1
MOD
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |