Análisis Campinense vs Duque de Caxias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 2008 |
CON
4 - 0
CAM
25%
28%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2008 |
CAM
3 - 0
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 oct. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAM
30%
29%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2008 |
CAM
2 - 1
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 jul. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAM
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 2008 |
ATL
5 - 1
DUQ
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2008 |
DUQ
2 - 4
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 2008 |
RIO
3 - 0
DUQ
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 2008 |
DUQ
3 - 1
CON
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2008 |
PAU
0 - 0
DUQ
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |