Análisis Caracas II vs Deportivo Lara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
23.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2007 |
LLA
3 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2007 |
CAR
4 - 0
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 ene. 2007 |
ATL
3 - 3
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 ene. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 4
EST
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 nov. 2006 |
CAR
3 - 4
IBE
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -2 |
Partidos
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2007 |
LAR
4 - 0
MIR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 2
LLA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 ene. 2007 |
EST
0 - 0
LAR
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2007 |
LAR
0 - 0
ATL
56%
24%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 nov. 2006 |
LAR
1 - 2
LLA
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |