Apertura Venezuela . Cuartos
Global 3-1
Análisis Caracas vs La Guaira
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
45.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.4
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-18%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 1
CFC
23%
29%
47%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 2
MIN
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 1
CFC
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 0
ESC
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 abr. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 1
CFC
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 1
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
ESC
69%
21%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 abr. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 1
DEP
31%
28%
40%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 1
EST
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2016 |
ZUL
2 - 1
DEP
27%
29%
45%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |