Análisis Caracas vs Estudiantes de Mérida
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 2016 |
ZUL
2 - 1
CFC
28%
30%
42%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
ANZ
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
CFC
21%
28%
52%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
CFC
31%
31%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 mar. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 1
MIR
79%
16%
5%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -2 |
Partidos
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
LLA
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 4
TAC
18%
25%
58%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 mar. 2016 |
ESC
3 - 2
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 mar. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
LAR
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |