Gran Final Venezuela Final
Global 2-2
Análisis Caracas vs Estudiantes de Mérida
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
51.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-26%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2019 |
TAC
2 - 2
CFC
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 1
TAC
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2019 |
CFC
2 - 0
LAR
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 nov. 2019 |
LAR
0 - 1
CFC
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2019 |
DEP
2 - 0
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 2019 |
EST
2 - 0
LAL
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
EST
18%
23%
60%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |