Análisis Caracas vs Grêmio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 may. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 1
MIR
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 3
CFC
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 may. 2009 |
CFC
4 - 0
CUE
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
CFC
2 - 1
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2009 |
CUE
2 - 1
CFC
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 may. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 1
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAM
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 3
GRE
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |