Análisis Caracas vs Trujillanos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
58.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 3
CFC
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 2
CCP
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 may. 2017 |
CFC
4 - 1
ZUL
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 may. 2017 |
ZUL
3 - 0
CFC
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 may. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
CFC
53%
27%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 1
ARA
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 2
TRU
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 0
MON
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
TRU
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2017 |
TRU
3 - 0
ZUL
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |