Análisis Caracas vs Univ. Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 feb. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
CFC
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 3
CFC
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 feb. 2004 |
CFC
1 - 0
TRU
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 1
CFC
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2004 |
CFC
0 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2004 |
UCO
5 - 0
COQ
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 3
CFC
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2004 |
UCO
3 - 4
UCO
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 1
SWA
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 feb. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 3
CRZ
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |