Análisis Carcacía vs Bastavales
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
9%
Probabilidad gana
0.74
Goles esperados
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.3%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.5
Goles esperados
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+170%
+286%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Carcacía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 2016 |
VCC
2 - 1
CAR
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
DOD
18%
20%
62%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 sep. 2016 |
BER
2 - 1
CAR
56%
20%
24%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 4
ABA
15%
17%
68%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
POR
2 - 3
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +2 |
Partidos
Bastavales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 2016 |
BAS
6 - 1
RES
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2016 |
LUA
1 - 3
BAS
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2016 |
BAS
6 - 2
SAL
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 2016 |
HIJ
0 - 0
BAS
24%
20%
56%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
CAC
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |