Análisis Carchá vs Heredia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
16.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
60%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 2014 |
SPD
2 - 0
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
SPD
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 may. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
ANT
42%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 2014 |
ZAC
3 - 1
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
COB
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2014 |
HER
3 - 3
MUN
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 1
HER
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2014 |
HER
6 - 1
HAL
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 may. 2014 |
HAL
1 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 abr. 2014 |
IZT
3 - 5
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |