Análisis Carlisle United vs AFC Bournemouth
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+34%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2007 |
POR
0 - 2
CUM
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2007 |
TRA
0 - 2
CUM
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 mar. 2007 |
CUM
5 - 0
GIL
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 2007 |
CUM
1 - 1
HUR
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 0
CUM
47%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 1
BRA
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2007 |
ROT
0 - 2
BOU
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 mar. 2007 |
BOU
2 - 0
TRA
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 0
MIL
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 mar. 2007 |
NOR
3 - 1
BOU
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |