Análisis CA Manucci vs Willy Serrato
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
82.6%
Probabilidad gana
2.77
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.9%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CA Manucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ago. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 2
MAN
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
ALI
69%
18%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2018 |
MAN
4 - 0
HUA
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 jul. 2018 |
AUR
4 - 1
MAN
38%
27%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 jul. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 4
UNI
57%
21%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 4
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2018 |
ALI
8 - 0
WIL
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 ago. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
ALF
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2018 |
HUA
6 - 2
WIL
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 4
AUR
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |