Análisis Carolinense vs Jerez Industrial
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+53%
+40%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 1979 |
POR
2 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1979 |
MOT
1 - 1
CAR
63%
23%
14%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1979 |
CAR
0 - 0
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 dic. 1979 |
CAR
0 - 4
MER
47%
28%
25%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 nov. 1979 |
ADL
1 - 0
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 dic. 1979 |
JER
0 - 1
MAR
61%
24%
15%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1979 |
MEL
2 - 0
JER
62%
23%
15%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 nov. 1979 |
JER
1 - 1
ANT
61%
24%
15%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 1979 |
JER
2 - 0
CDR
53%
27%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 nov. 1979 |
MOT
2 - 0
JER
59%
24%
17%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |