Análisis AC Carpi vs Pavia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2012 |
ACL
1 - 1
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
FCV
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAR
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEO
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 2
TAR
18%
30%
52%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 2
SOR
14%
23%
64%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2012 |
REG
2 - 1
PAV
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
PAV
0 - 2
USF
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
PAV
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |