Análisis Cartagena F.C. UCAM vs SD Gernika

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad del hándicap

70.6%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
2.39
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%

17.2%

Empate

0-0

3.7%

1-1

8%

2-2

4.3%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

17.2%

12.2%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Cartagena F.C. UCAM

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 sep. 1977	ALZ 1 - 1 CFC 57% 26% 17%	44	42	2	0
04 sep. 1977	CFC 2 - 1 IBI 63% 23% 13%	44	43	1	0
25 may. 1975	CFC 3 - 0 SFE 58% 25% 17%	41	43	2	+3
18 may. 1975	XER 2 - 1 CFC 65% 23% 12%	41	46	5	0
11 may. 1975	CFC 0 - 2 AMA 55% 27% 18%	43	47	4	-2

Partidos

SD Gernika

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 sep. 1977	LEM 0 - 2 GER 68% 18% 14%	40	42	2	0
04 sep. 1977	GER 0 - 2 ARE 49% 31% 20%	41	44	3	-1
05 jun. 1977	ARE 4 - 1 GER 68% 21% 11%	41	41	0	0
29 may. 1977	GER 2 - 1 LAR 76% 16% 8%	41	30	11	0
22 may. 1977	NAV 1 - 1 GER 42% 27% 32%	41	36	5	0