Análisis Case-Pilote vs AS Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2016 |
GOL
0 - 3
CAS
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
AIG
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 0
CAS
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
CLU
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
GOO
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
PAU
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 1
NSD
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2016 |
SDF
0 - 1
EXC
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 2
USM
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2016 |
EXC
4 - 0
PSL
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |