Análisis Caselas vs CD Estradense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+60%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2009 |
OGR
3 - 0
CAS
32%
26%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
CAS
1 - 2
TOM
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
CAS
54%
24%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 0
MAR
62%
20%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAS
59%
22%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Estradense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2009 |
EST
5 - 0
RIB
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
ATO
1 - 1
EST
31%
25%
45%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
OGR
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
TOM
2 - 3
EST
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |