Análisis Caselas vs Sporting Celanova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.66
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.7%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+60%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2009 |
CAS
3 - 0
CHO
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAS
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 1
ARE
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
PON
2 - 2
CAS
41%
25%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2008 |
CAS
4 - 2
CUL
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2009 |
RIB
3 - 1
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 2
ATO
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
SPO
3 - 1
OGR
31%
25%
45%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 dic. 2008 |
TOM
3 - 0
SPO
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |