Análisis Casertana vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2013 |
ARZ
2 - 2
CAS
20%
25%
56%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
USF
30%
25%
46%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2013 |
TER
0 - 0
CAS
64%
20%
15%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2013 |
CAS
4 - 1
APR
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 2013 |
VIG
1 - 2
CAS
46%
27%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
ASM
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2013 |
GAV
0 - 1
MES
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 nov. 2013 |
MES
0 - 0
NUO
28%
25%
48%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
MES
36%
27%
38%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2013 |
MES
1 - 1
USP
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |