Análisis Casetas vs Montecarlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+42%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 mar. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
UDC
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
UDC
2 - 1
PEN
60%
22%
18%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 feb. 2012 |
ZUE
1 - 0
UDC
61%
22%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 feb. 2012 |
CDA
3 - 0
UDC
68%
20%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2012 |
UDC
1 - 0
UDP
77%
15%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 mar. 2012 |
UDM
1 - 2
UDP
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
POM
1 - 1
UDM
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2012 |
UDM
1 - 1
ALC
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2012 |
FRA
4 - 2
UDM
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 feb. 2012 |
UDM
0 - 1
ATL
24%
24%
52%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |