Análisis Castelense vs Melgacense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.42
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+30%
-83%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Castelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2015 |
AAR
1 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 4
NEV
12%
18%
71%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 1
CAS
48%
23%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
CCO
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2015 |
CCO
1 - 0
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Melgacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 1
MON
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2015 |
COU
2 - 2
MEL
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 0
MEL
22%
21%
56%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 4
AAR
19%
21%
61%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 3
NEV
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |