Análisis Castilleja vs La Barrera
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.39
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+29%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
53%
24%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
ANT
44%
25%
31%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 3
CAS
48%
26%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 dic. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 1
CIU
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 nov. 2013 |
LCF
0 - 1
CAS
39%
26%
35%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
La Barrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 2
EST
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 4
EST
32%
24%
44%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2013 |
CDA
2 - 1
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 dic. 2013 |
LAV
3 - 3
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |