Análisis Castillo Locubín vs Vilches
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
14.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 2
RJA
41%
24%
34%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIL
41%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
VIL
4 - 0
CDR
58%
21%
20%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 abr. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 4
MEN
66%
19%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 1
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |