Análisis Castro vs Cayón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14%
Probabilidad gana
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 1981 |
NAV
2 - 1
CAS
57%
25%
18%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1981 |
CAS
2 - 0
LEN
73%
18%
9%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1981 |
GIN
1 - 2
CAS
63%
22%
16%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 mar. 1981 |
CAS
5 - 0
ROB
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 feb. 1981 |
CAU
3 - 0
CAS
61%
24%
16%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 1981 |
CAY
1 - 0
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1981 |
SIE
3 - 0
CAY
63%
23%
15%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 mar. 1981 |
CAY
1 - 1
TUR
60%
23%
17%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 1981 |
SPB
4 - 0
CAY
72%
19%
10%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 1981 |
CAY
1 - 0
SMA
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |