Análisis Castro vs Cayón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
75.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.11
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.4%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
7.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.5
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 1989 |
AST
0 - 0
CAS
37%
28%
35%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1989 |
CAS
3 - 0
VEL
80%
15%
5%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1989 |
CUL
0 - 3
CAS
22%
28%
50%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 1989 |
CAS
3 - 2
RAY
38%
27%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 abr. 1989 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAS
31%
29%
40%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 1989 |
MCU
0 - 2
CAY
65%
21%
14%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1989 |
CAY
1 - 1
AST
34%
27%
39%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 may. 1989 |
VEL
1 - 1
CAY
40%
28%
33%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1989 |
CAY
3 - 2
CUL
53%
24%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1989 |
RAY
3 - 0
CAY
87%
10%
3%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |