Análisis Castro vs Cayón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
16.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.85
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61%
Probabilidad gana
1.85
Goles esperados
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+62%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIV
36%
26%
38%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2011 |
FOZ
2 - 1
CAS
53%
24%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2011 |
RIB
2 - 2
CAS
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 4
BET
20%
25%
55%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 1
LAR
20%
24%
56%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2011 |
CAY
1 - 2
SIE
38%
26%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
REO
0 - 2
CAY
6%
16%
78%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2011 |
CAY
3 - 0
ARE
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 abr. 2011 |
BEZ
2 - 1
CAY
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2011 |
CAY
1 - 1
PON
67%
20%
14%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |