Análisis Castro vs Nueva Montaña
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.4%
Probabilidad gana
2.07
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+65%
-96%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2019 |
MER
1 - 4
CAS
22%
23%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2019 |
SEL
1 - 0
CAS
38%
25%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
CAR
33%
25%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
CAS
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Nueva Montaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 2019 |
NUE
2 - 0
NOJ
44%
23%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2019 |
ATM
3 - 0
NUE
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2019 |
NUE
1 - 2
VLE
51%
21%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 2019 |
AYR
2 - 1
NUE
16%
20%
64%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 mar. 2019 |
NUE
4 - 3
RAM
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |