Análisis Castro vs UM Escobedo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
15.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.78
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
62%
Probabilidad gana
1.82
Goles esperados
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+83%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 2008 |
GIM
6 - 3
CAS
78%
16%
7%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2008 |
RIB
1 - 1
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 2
SIE
58%
23%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2007 |
LAR
0 - 2
CAS
60%
23%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 dic. 2007 |
CAS
1 - 6
RAC
12%
21%
67%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
Partidos
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 2008 |
ESC
3 - 1
REO
73%
18%
9%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2008 |
ESC
3 - 1
TRO
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 dic. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 2
ESC
17%
23%
60%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 dic. 2007 |
ESC
2 - 1
NOJ
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 dic. 2007 |
TRA
1 - 7
ESC
18%
25%
58%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |