Análisis Catania vs Brescia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
67.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.1
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 1956 |
COM
2 - 1
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 1956 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAT
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1956 |
BAR
2 - 3
CAT
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1956 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 1956 |
MES
0 - 1
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 1956 |
MES
2 - 0
BRE
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 1956 |
BRE
1 - 0
ACM
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 ene. 1956 |
UNI
0 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1956 |
BRE
0 - 2
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 ene. 1956 |
BRE
2 - 1
SAL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |