Análisis Catuense vs Bahía
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Catuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 1
IPI
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
IPI
1 - 4
CAT
43%
24%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 feb. 2007 |
BAH
5 - 1
CAT
52%
22%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 feb. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 1
ALA
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 2007 |
JUA
2 - 1
CAT
33%
24%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2007 |
BAH
3 - 1
COL
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2007 |
BAH
0 - 1
ITA
75%
15%
9%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
COL
0 - 3
BAH
52%
23%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 feb. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 2
BAH
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 feb. 2007 |
BAH
5 - 1
CAT
52%
22%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |