Liga Brasileña Fase final, grupo S Jor. 5

Análisis Caxias Joinville FC vs Santos FC

Caxias Joinville FC Santos FC
76 ELO 86
2.6% Tilt -10.5%
29881º Ranking ELO general 123º
840º Ranking ELO país 18º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
39.1%
Caxias Joinville FC
24.8%
Empate
36.2%
Santos FC

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
39.1%
Probabilidad gana
Caxias Joinville FC
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.2%
Probabilidad gana
Santos FC
1.42
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Caxias Joinville FC
Santos FC
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Caxias Joinville FC
Caxias Joinville FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 feb. 1978
CAX
Caxias Joinville FC
1 - 5
Vasco da Gama
VAS
44%
25%
31%
76 84 8 0
11 feb. 1978
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
Caxias Joinville FC
CAX
75%
15%
10%
76 86 10 0
01 feb. 1978
COR
Corinthians
1 - 0
Caxias Joinville FC
CAX
65%
20%
15%
76 87 11 0
29 ene. 1978
LON
Londrina
2 - 0
Caxias Joinville FC
CAX
41%
27%
31%
77 64 13 -1
15 dic. 1977
COT
Coritiba
1 - 2
Caxias Joinville FC
CAX
57%
23%
21%
78 83 5 -1

Partidos

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 feb. 1978
SAN
Santos FC
0 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
48%
27%
24%
86 86 0 0
11 feb. 1978
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 2
Londrina
LON
80%
13%
7%
86 67 19 0
01 feb. 1978
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
42%
29%
30%
86 84 2 0
29 ene. 1978
COR
Corinthians
1 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
47%
28%
25%
86 87 1 0
14 dic. 1977
GOY
Goytacaz
0 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
16%
21%
63%
87 65 22 -1
X