Análisis Cayón vs CD Naval
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 1986 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAY
66%
22%
12%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 1986 |
CAY
1 - 2
MAR
46%
27%
28%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 1986 |
SMA
3 - 0
CAY
41%
28%
31%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 nov. 1986 |
CAY
2 - 1
REO
50%
25%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 nov. 1986 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAY
36%
28%
36%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -2 |
Partidos
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 1986 |
NAV
0 - 4
BAR
37%
27%
37%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 1986 |
NAV
1 - 0
TEX
41%
28%
32%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 nov. 1986 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAV
74%
18%
8%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1986 |
NAV
0 - 0
MAR
29%
28%
43%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1986 |
SMA
1 - 1
NAV
65%
21%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |