Tercera División - Play Offs Ascenso Cuartos
Global 5-3
Análisis CD Alfaro vs Arroyo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.09
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2010 |
ARR
3 - 1
ALF
51%
22%
27%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 6
ALF
6%
15%
79%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
ALF
1 - 0
SMC
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
PRA
1 - 8
ALF
9%
18%
74%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
ALF
5 - 0
VIA
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2010 |
ARR
3 - 1
ALF
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
ARR
3 - 1
SNV
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
DBN
0 - 2
ARR
44%
25%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 1
IMP
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
UCL
0 - 3
ARR
11%
19%
70%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |