Análisis CD Aurrera Vitoria vs Deportivo Alavés B
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+29%
+25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 nov. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 0
AUR
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 2
ZAL
32%
27%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 nov. 2012 |
GER
3 - 1
AUR
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 oct. 2012 |
LON
1 - 1
AUR
37%
27%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Alavés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 nov. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 1
CDG
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2012 |
BEA
1 - 1
ALA
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 1
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 2012 |
ELG
0 - 2
ALA
59%
23%
18%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 oct. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 2
CDU
20%
24%
56%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |