Análisis Corellano vs Murchante
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.04
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.2%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.49
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-55%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 3
CDC
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 2
GAR
32%
24%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 abr. 2024 |
AOI
2 - 1
CDC
56%
23%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 abr. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
CDC
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 abr. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
PEN
34%
22%
44%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 1
PEN
5%
12%
83%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2024 |
INJ
4 - 0
MUR
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
MUT
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2024 |
CDI
3 - 2
MUR
82%
13%
5%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 4
CDA
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |