1ª Regional Extremadura 3 Jor. 17

Análisis CD Don Álvaro vs Guareña

CD Don Álvaro Guareña
19 ELO 20
7% Tilt -6.1%
13081º Ranking ELO general 12747º
2061º Ranking ELO país 1826º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
46.3%
CD Don Álvaro
22.3%
Empate
31.4%
Guareña

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
CD Don Álvaro
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Guareña
1.52
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
CD Don Álvaro
-42%
+62%
Guareña

Progresión del ELO

CD Don Álvaro
Guareña
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

CD Don Álvaro
CD Don Álvaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 feb. 2025
GIM
Gimnástico Don Benito
4 - 3
CD Don Álvaro
CDD
15%
20%
65%
20 11 9 0
16 feb. 2025
ADV
AD Valdefuentes
0 - 3
CD Don Álvaro
CDD
17%
20%
63%
19 11 8 +1
02 feb. 2025
CDD
CD Don Álvaro
3 - 2
Cabeza Del Buey
CAB
34%
23%
44%
19 22 3 0
26 ene. 2025
HER
Hernán Cortés
2 - 1
CD Don Álvaro
CDD
59%
21%
20%
19 21 2 0
19 ene. 2025
CDD
CD Don Álvaro
5 - 1
CD Zarceño
CDZ
58%
20%
23%
18 16 2 +1

Partidos

Guareña
Guareña
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 feb. 2025
GUA
Guareña
2 - 0
Cabeza Del Buey
CAB
31%
23%
45%
19 22 3 0
16 feb. 2025
HER
Hernán Cortés
0 - 1
Guareña
GUA
61%
20%
19%
18 22 4 +1
02 feb. 2025
GUA
Guareña
3 - 0
CD Zarceño
CDZ
50%
22%
28%
18 16 2 0
26 ene. 2025
RMC
Racing Merida City
0 - 3
Guareña
GUA
22%
21%
58%
17 12 5 +1
19 ene. 2025
GUA
Guareña
3 - 1
CD San Serván
CDS
76%
15%
8%
17 11 6 0