Análisis CD El Nacional vs Aucas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
33.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.33
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.5
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 dic. 2020 |
IVT
2 - 0
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 3
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 2020 |
OLM
1 - 2
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 2
UCE
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 nov. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
BSC
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2020 |
MAC
2 - 1
AUC
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2020 |
AUC
4 - 1
ORE
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2020 |
CUE
3 - 3
AUC
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2020 |
AUC
3 - 3
IVT
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2020 |
LIG
4 - 1
AUC
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |