Análisis CD El Nacional vs Técnico Universitario
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
-18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2008 |
LDU
2 - 2
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 2
DPT
54%
23%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 feb. 2008 |
QUI
0 - 0
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2007 |
DPT
2 - 1
NAC
36%
24%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 2
OLM
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2008 |
TEC
0 - 4
ESP
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
CUE
2 - 0
TEC
58%
26%
17%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 feb. 2008 |
TEC
2 - 3
BSC
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2007 |
AUC
1 - 2
TEC
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 dic. 2007 |
TEC
1 - 1
ESP
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |