Análisis CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+44%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
BSC
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 2013 |
BSC
1 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
UCE
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 mar. 2013 |
IVT
2 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 1
EME
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 2
IVT
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2013 |
IVT
2 - 1
DEP
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 mar. 2013 |
IVT
2 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2013 |
LDU
2 - 1
IVT
55%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |