Análisis CD El Nacional vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 0
RPO
54%
23%
22%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2002 |
QUI
0 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 0
LDU
54%
25%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2002 |
LDU
0 - 1
NAC
41%
28%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 mar. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 1
QUI
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 1
OLM
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 1
EME
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 mar. 2002 |
EME
0 - 0
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2002 |
OLM
0 - 0
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |