Análisis CD El Nacional vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ago. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 ago. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 3
QUI
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 ago. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2004 |
NAC
5 - 2
OLM
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 jul. 2004 |
LDU
3 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ago. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 2
CUE
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 ago. 2004 |
CUE
1 - 0
MAC
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 ago. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 1
BSC
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2004 |
AUC
0 - 0
MAC
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |