Análisis CD El Nacional vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2007 |
CUE
0 - 2
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2007 |
BSC
1 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 2007 |
EME
0 - 0
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 3
QUI
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 mar. 2007 |
LDU
2 - 1
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 1
CUE
39%
29%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 feb. 2007 |
OLM
2 - 1
MAC
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |