Análisis CD El Nacional vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.18
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 ago. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLM
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2007 |
EME
1 - 0
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 jul. 2007 |
LDU
2 - 1
NAC
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 0
IMB
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 2007 |
DPT
2 - 3
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ago. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 3
LDU
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 1
MAC
60%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 jul. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 1
CUE
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2007 |
OLM
0 - 0
MAC
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 0
IMB
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |